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An award winning journalist and leading international social researcher make the provocative argument that the global population will soon begin to decline dramatically reshaping the social political and economic landscape #160; For half a century statisticians pundits and politicians have warned that a burgeoning population will soon overwhelm the earth's resources But a growing number of experts are sounding a different alarm Rather than continuing to increase exponentially they argue the global population is headed for a steep decline;and in many countries that decline has already begun #160; In Empty Planet John Ibbitson and Darrell Bricker find that a smaller global population will bring with it many benefits fewer workers will command higher wages; the environment will improve; the risk of famine will wane; and falling birthrates in the developing world will bring greater affluence and autonomy for women #160; But enormous disruption lies ahead too We can already see the effects in Europe and parts of Asia as aging populations and worker shortages weaken the economy and impose crippling demands on healthcare and social security The United States and Canada are well positioned to successfully navigate these coming demographic shifts that is unless growing isolationism leads us to close ourselves off just as openness becomescritical to our survival than ever #160; Rigorously researched and deeply compelling Empty Planet offers a vision of a future that we can no longer prevent but one that we can shape if we choosePraise for#160; Empty Planet #160;;An ambitious reimagining of our demographic future;; The New York Times Book Review #160;;The authors combine a mastery of social science research with enough journalistic flair to convince fair minded readers of a simple fact Fertility is falling faster than most experts can readily explain driven by persistent forces;; The#160;Wall Street Journal#160;;The beauty of this book is that it links hard to grasp global trends to the easy to understand individual choices being made all over the world todaya gripping narrative of a world on the cusp of profound change;; The New Statesman;John Ibbitson and Darrell Bricker have written a sparkling and enlightening guide to the contemporary world of fertility as small family sizes and plunging rates of child bearing go global; ;The#160;Globe and Mail An award winning journalist and leading international social researcher make the provocative argument that the global population will soon begin to decline dramatically reshaping the social political and economic landscape #160; For half a century statisticians pundits and politicians have warned that a burgeoning population will soon overwhelm the earth's resources But a growing number of experts are sounding a different alarm Rather than continuing to increase exponentially they argue the global population is headed for a steep decline;and in many countries that decline has already begun #160; In Empty Planet John Ibbitson and Darrell Bricker find that a smaller global population will bring with it many benefits fewer workers will command higher wages; the environment will improve; the risk of famine will wane; and falling birthrates in the developing world will bring greater affluence and autonomy for women #160; But enormous disruption lies ahead too We can already see the effects in Europe and parts of Asia as aging populations and worker shortages weaken the economy and impose crippling demands on healthcare and social security The United States and Canada are well positioned to successfully navigate these coming demographic shifts that is unless growing isolationism leads us to close ourselves off just as openness becomescritical to our survival than ever #160; Rigorously researched and deeply compelling Empty Planet offers a vision of a future that we can no longer prevent but one that we can shape if we choosePraise for#160; Empty Planet #160;;An ambitious reimagining of our demographic future;; The New York Times Book Review #160;;The authors combine a mastery of social science research with enough journalistic flair to convince fair minded readers of a simple fact Fertility is falling faster than most experts can readily explain driven by persistent forces;; The#160;Wall Street Journal#160;;The beauty of this book is that it links hard to grasp global trends to the easy to understand individual choices being made all over the world todaya gripping narrative of a world on the cusp of profound change;; The New Statesman;John Ibbitson and Darrell Bricker have written a sparkling and enlightening guide to the contemporary world of fertility as small family sizes and plunging rates of child bearing go global; ;The#160;Globe and Mail An award winning journalist and leading international social researcher make the provocative argument that the global population will soon begin to decline dramatically reshaping the social political and economic landscape #160; For half a century statisticians pundits and politicians have warned that a burgeoning population will soon overwhelm the earth's resources But a growing number of experts are sounding a different alarm Rather than continuing to increase exponentially they argue the global population is headed for a steep decline;and in many countries that decline has already begun #160; In Empty Planet John Ibbitson and Darrell Bricker find that a smaller global population will bring with it many benefits fewer workers will command higher wages; the environment will improve; the risk of famine will wane; and falling birthrates in the developing world will bring greater affluence and autonomy for women #160; But enormous disruption lies ahead too We can already see the effects in Europe and parts of Asia as aging populations and worker shortages weaken the economy and impose crippling demands on healthcare and social security The United States and Canada are well positioned to successfully navigate these coming demographic shifts that is unless growing isolationism leads us to close ourselves off just as openness becomescritical to our survival than ever #160; Rigorously researched and deeply compelling Empty Planet offers a vision of a future that we can no longer prevent but one that we can shape if we choosePraise for#160; Empty Planet #160;;An ambitious reimagining of our demographic future;; The New York Times Book Review #160;;The authors combine a mastery of social science research with enough journalistic flair to convince fair minded readers of a simple fact Fertility is falling faster than most experts can readily explain driven by persistent forces;; The#160;Wall Street Journal#160;;The beauty of this book is that it links hard to grasp global trends to the easy to understand individual choices being made all over the world todaya gripping narrative of a world on the cusp of profound change;; The New Statesman;John Ibbitson and Darrell Bricker have written a sparkling and enlightening guide to the contemporary world of fertility as small family sizes and plunging rates of child bearing go global; ;The#160;Globe and Mail


5 thoughts on “Empty Planet: The Shock of Global Population Decline

  1. says:

    The authors claim that UN demographers have got their population forecast wrong pointing to alternative demographers' low forecasts in which global population peaks around 2050 at 85 or 9 billion and then declines by 2100 to 7 or 8 billion But even if we believe this it means population will continue to be above 7 billion for at least 80 years That hypothetical future is not an empty planet According to analyses such as planetary boundaries and Ecological Footprint human impact was already unsustainable when our population reached 7 billion And the Living Planet Index ZSL says other species' numbers have on average been declining since 1970 when the human population was only 37 billion So even if we believe the low forecast the world faces at least another century of overpopulation stress time enough for bad effects The authors' rhetoric All of this fear of species extinctions etc is utterly wrong has no logical basis in the low forecastI hope the low forecast comes true but sadly it is not as easy as the authors imagine Most demographers think some countries in middle Africa will only slowly reduce fertility and it only takes one high outlier country to perpetuate global population growth The low forecast has two other less wellknown weaknesses One was explained in Eric Kaufmann's 2010 book the higher fertility obscured by national scale data of some sects; members often avoiding contact with strangers and therefore probably under sampled by Bricker and Ibbitson’s conversational approach to research at university campuses favelas and slums The other weakness is that some forecasters neglect evolutionary factors as explored recently in an article by Jason Collins and Lionel Page The heritability of fertility makes world population stabilization unlikely in the foreseeable future in Evolution and Human Behavior 40 2019Let us hope the low forecast comes true but Bricker and Ibbitson’s book would be much better without its anti environmentalist rhetoric and the sensationalist titleDr J P McKeown


  2. says:

    The book is a good reminder of that the future might be very different from the what mainstreamers believeThe authors argues very convincing for a different scenarioEveryone who works with a long time planning horizon should read this bookLack of space ressources and mass pollution might not be the main problems of the futureThe book is not a scientific paper but a solid analysis based on comprehensive researchAs investor in farmland the conseuences of the conclusion in the book is worrying the increasing demand for agricultural product might end sooner than I hope forEveryone who are scared for the future should read this book they might still be scared but their anxiety will be about other topics


  3. says:

    Very detailed book with statistics to back it up Many of the things they have predicted are already coming true Birth rate in American and China is already in line with their predictions made only last year


  4. says:

    This book has been a real revelation claims made are very well supported and credible its not doom and gloom but hilights enormous challenges that are simply not on the agenda like the comparable and related matter climate change Time for people to re assess their views on immigration


  5. says:

    I gave up using Kindle because of page by page turning Even on a brand new book like this one there is no vertical option What a bummer I give up again